The stone facade of the Bank of England faces a London street beneath a blue sky.
Bank of England, Threadneedle Street, London.David Iliff (opens in a new tab) · CC BY-SA 3.0 (opens in a new tab)

The gilt shock exposed the cash demands of a hedge

Matching pension assets to future obligations could still leave a fund short of cash. The gilt disruption showed how a hedge can demand payment before its economic benefit is available.

On 28 September 2022, the Bank of England announced temporary purchases of long-dated government bonds to restore orderly market conditions. It warned that continued dysfunction could tighten financing conditions and reduce credit to households and businesses. The intervention addressed a market in which falling prices were generating urgent selling pressure from institutions that ordinarily invested over very long horizons.

The episode centred on liability-driven investment, or LDI, used by defined-benefit pension schemes. For startup treasury, it illustrated a cash timing problem that can arise in a very different portfolio: a hedge can serve a sound economic purpose while requiring money before the benefit from the offsetting position becomes available.

The liability could fall while the fund needed cash

The Bank's subsequent Financial Stability Report, published in December 2022, explained that pension schemes used long-term gilts and derivatives to help their assets move with the value of future pension payments. When long-term interest rates rose, the present value of those liabilities fell. Long-dated bond prices also fell. Matching those sensitivities could reduce a pension scheme's exposure to changes in interest rates over time.

Many LDI strategies used leverage through repurchase agreements or derivatives, allowing schemes to retain other investments alongside their interest-rate exposure. A sharp fall in gilt prices reduced the value of assets supporting that leverage and triggered demands for additional collateral or margin. The decline in the measured pension liability provided an economic offset, but it was not a bank transfer that could meet the immediate call. That timing difference became critical when yields moved rapidly.

Simultaneous selling turned liquidity into a market problem

The report recorded a rise of 140 basis points in 30-year gilt yields over four days from 21 September, more than twice the largest comparable move since 2000. The speed and scale of the move help explain why a liquidity plan calibrated to less extreme conditions could fail before its owners had time to respond.

The Millennium Bridge crosses the Thames in front of the City of London financial district skyline.
City of London skyline from Bankside.GrindtXX (opens in a new tab) · CC BY-SA 4.0 (opens in a new tab)
Gilt sales during the period of stress
Period or category£bn
Defined-benefit pension schemes
14
LDI funds
23

Approximate gilt sales from 23 September to 14 October 2022, reconstructed by the Bank of England from reported transactions. The figures are the Bank's best estimates of sales; investment losses and total collateral calls are separate measures.

Source2

LDI funds sought additional money from pension schemes, sold other assets and reduced leverage. Pooled funds faced particular delays because many smaller investors had to provide funds through their own operational processes. Where cash could not arrive quickly enough, selling gilts into an already strained market risked pushing prices lower, generating further calls and forcing more sales. The behaviour of each fund changed the conditions facing the others.

The Bank estimated total margin and collateral calls on LDI funds and pension schemes at more than £70 billion between 23 September and 14 October. This was a funding demand, not a measure of investment losses. Its report separately attributed approximately £14 billion of gilt sales to defined-benefit pension schemes and £23 billion to LDI funds over that period. Other asset sales and existing cash also helped meet obligations.

A temporary buyer created time to rebalance

The intervention announcement specified a temporary programme running through 14 October to protect financial stability, separate from the setting of monetary policy. It was intended to restore functioning in a specific market. The Bank's subsequent account describes how the purchases gave LDI funds time to obtain funding, repay borrowing and adjust portfolios. It also records later changes, including the addition of long-term index-linked gilts from 11 October.

For risk management, the important feature was the time the intervention created. An asset that could eventually be sold and an investor who could eventually supply cash were insufficient if a deadline arrived first. The Bank concluded that buffers had been too low and less usable in practice than expected. That finding points to an operational test: identify the account, the permitted collateral and the people authorised to act within the required hours.

A startup's hedge belongs in its cash forecast

A young hardware company may hedge a purchase in a foreign currency; an energy business may hedge part of a future commodity exposure. The particular contracts can differ greatly from LDI, including whether margin is required. The applicable terms therefore matter more than a general label such as hedged. Management needs to know which market moves generate a payment, how it is calculated and whether a counterparty can demand additional security.

A useful scenario follows the sequence through to cash. A currency move may improve the value of a future customer receipt while creating a call on a hedge today. If the customer pays late, the economic relationship between the positions remains while the funding gap grows. A committed credit line may help only if it is available for that purpose and drawable within the deadline. Restricted cash and collateral already pledged elsewhere cannot be counted again.

Stacks of one-dollar U.S. banknotes tied with rubber bands sit on a table.
U.S. dollar banknotes, 2020.MarkBuckawicki (opens in a new tab) · CC0 (opens in a new tab)

Treasury software needed to show actions and deadlines

Treasury software could connect exposures, contractual triggers, account availability and approval routes in a view that a finance team could use during a fast move. A dashboard showing only net value could obscure the gross payments needed first. Alerts needed to reach someone able to act, and forecasts needed to distinguish cash available now from assets requiring sale, settlement or board approval.

Investors evaluating such a product should look for evidence that it shortens a real decision or transfer process. The gilt episode does not prove that every company needs complex treasury software or that a particular market shock will recur. It demonstrates why the usability of reserves and the mechanics of a hedge deserve attention before stress arrives, while there is still time to change contracts, permissions and funding arrangements.

Investment implications

  • Economic protection and the ability to meet a collateral call are separate properties of a hedge.
  • A liquidity buffer must be accessible within the actual deadline for payment.

Sources

  1. Bank of England announces gilt market operation (opens in a new tab)

    Bank of England

  2. Financial Stability Report — December 2022, Section 5: In focus — The resilience of liability-driven investment funds (opens in a new tab)

    Bank of England

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